Research Note: Centimeter-level Accuracy & Autonomous Trucking
By 2026, 90% of autonomous trucks are expected to rely on high-definition (HD) maps with centimeter-level accuracy for precise localization and navigation, a critical enabler for safe and efficient autonomous trucking operations (Probability 0.90).
HD maps provide highly detailed 3D representations of the road environment, including lane markings, traffic signs, and geometry, allowing autonomous trucks to accurately determine their position, plan trajectories, and navigate safely in challenging conditions. The rapid adoption is driven by maturing HD mapping technology, increasing availability of high-resolution sensors like LiDAR and HD cameras, and growing demand for autonomous trucking services.
Widespread adoption of centimeter-accurate HD maps will unlock significant benefits for autonomous trucks, enabling safer and more efficient operation, reduced accident risk, optimized fuel consumption, and advanced functionalities such as cooperative maneuvers, platooning, and predictive maintenance. The rich data in HD maps can also be leveraged for intelligent fleet management, route optimization, and infrastructure planning. However, successful deployment requires ongoing collaboration and standardization to ensure interoperability across regions and platforms, establish efficient update mechanisms, and address data privacy and security concerns.
Bottom Line
HD maps with centimeter-level accuracy are a fundamental building block for advanced autonomous trucking, with 90% adoption expected by 2026. As the industry evolves, continued innovation, collaboration, and standardization efforts will be crucial to fully realize the potential of HD maps in transforming trucking safety, efficiency, and functionality. Industry partnerships like the Open AutoDrive Forum and OneMap Alliance will play a vital role in developing and promoting HD mapping standards and best practices to support the growth and success of autonomous trucking.